Title : 7 Optimistic Scenarios for the Future of Our Planet
link : 7 Optimistic Scenarios for the Future of Our Planet
7 Optimistic Scenarios for the Future of Our Planet
Visions of future represented by science fiction writers and futurists often include atomic explosion, robots on tracks and cannibalistic murderers nomads traveling on motorcycles. And this is justified, since we do not take proper care of our environment, new technologies are not always good of humanity and the people of the world are at war with each other without current robots.But we can not be too sure that the history of human civilization will end grimly. Finding ways to avoid premonitions of popular science fiction stories and apocalyptic dystopia can help us envision the distant future may seem much brighter. We examine seven most optimistic scenarios for the development of humanity .
1. Status quo
This is perhaps most boring, but the most likely scenario for the future .
in books with titles such "encouraging" as " our final hour "and others, British astrophysicist Martin Rees, Swedish philosopher Nick Bostrom and English physicist Stephen Hawking theoretical claim that humanity has no chance of survival even before the start of the next century . Maintain the current level of our civilization (which simply is our ultimate survival) can itself be considered a positive result. Most likely we have already reached the highest point of our development point.
In 1992, the American political economist Francis Fukuyama has written a book entitled " end of History and the last man ". the hypothesis that the political, technological and economic model of the 90s is the last frontier in the history of humanity was raised. The new millennium proved the fallacy of Fukuyama.
A more realistic scenario to maintain the status quo was proposed by the former head of the research department of Sun Microsystems Bill Joy. In 2000 he published an essay in Wired magazine entitled "Why the future does not need us". The article stated that the most advanced technologies of the XXI century as robotics, genetic engineering and nanotechnology are dangerous to humans as a biological species. Joy called a conscious withdrawal of dangerous technologies similar to the model of nuclear disarmament. neo-Luddite position according to joy is the most important strategy against dystopia and the extinction of humanity. The sooner we stop the development of dangerous technologies to ourselves, the longer and happier will be our future.
2. Blooming green earth
In most science fiction scenarios, the Earth seems to be represented as a metropolis planet encased in steel and concrete. This is the worst nightmare for environmentalists when it exists in a future where technology completely replaces the biosphere of the Earth.
But there is another option. A future in which nature is much more lush and picturesque what we can imagine. New philosophies of environmentalism and trans-humanism advocate developing technologies that will help restore the environment . Nano and biotechnologies will be used for cleaning landfill sites and industrial waste disposal. And in the distant future it will be possible to terraform Earth back to its pristine state.
The earliest manifestation of this kind of philosophy is a report by the writer of science American fiction Bruce Sterling date October 14, 1998, and published in San Francisco. The founder of cyberpunk has come up with the idea of "Esmeralda design". the ideas of eco-design, technological progress and cosmopolitanism combine. In short, Sterling argued that in order to combat environmental problems, humanity must use the most advanced technologies and work together .
in 2008, Bruce Sterling officially ended the movement "Emerald Design" to pave the way for more advanced ideology based on Internet called "bright green environmentalism."
in the distant future, our planet can become more ecologically diverse than it has ever been. Humans would have to be genetically modified not to interfere with the overall harmony of the natural environment. All energy needs for humanity will be completely satisfied, which will become the kind of a civilization on the scale of Kardashev.
Some environmentalists act to promote the issue of ecosystems on Earth, to remove predators herbivorous not to suffer. We will be able to control the weather . And finally, we will be able to withstand natural disasters such as asteroids, earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. Who would want to negotiate a planet like this for some distant planets in space?
3. Under the supervision of machines
is quite likely that acquisition by technological singularity will lead to the extinction of humans as a species . The next generation of artificial intelligence (which may appear as early as in thirty years) can become so incomprehensible to our understanding that we will not be able to coexist on the same planet. The destruction of mankind by machines can be intentionally produced by accident or even by our own fault.
But superpower machine can lead to an opposite result . The possibility that artificial intelligence can be the key to utopia for mankind has brought to life the movement called trans-humanism .
Trans-humanists (and especially their ideology singularian ) agrees in general with Cayferom of "The Matrix" . Humanity will feel more comfortable and safe inside friendly system built by the IA . If designers and programmers begin working on the development of friendly now artificial intelligence new generation of Asimov machine type can appear , which, in principle, may be unable to humans harm. Will become our protectors and patrons . Let's let them care about the Earth, while we will go peacefully virtual jungles inhabited by mechanical animals.
4. Space
Sooner or later we that leave Earth and start to colonize other solar systems . This will ensure our survival (which is not a good idea to keep all your eggs in one basket) as humanity has always had an inherent desire to advance. After reaching beyond geographical boundaries and biological limitations (which can not fly and very poor swimmers), we obtained further development of our civilization. This led to technological, social, political and economic changes in society.
Even with the current achievements, very modest in space exploration, ended with satellite technologies and important discoveries in the field of natural sciences . And what about the high resolution image of the surface of Mars? ... If we become capable of traveling interstellar distances IT containers be multigenerational, spacecraft von Neumann self-replicating or physically intangible bubble of artificial intelligence, this will become a significant advance. Perhaps it is an achievement not only for humanity, but for all living beings in our galaxy.
Today that exist in the galaxy no visible traces of any activity extraterrestrial beings This allowed American theoretical physicist Enrico Fermi legitimately ask, "Well, where are all these other civilizations."? So if we do not start to travel between the stars and planets, then we can become the first and only civilization capable of such distant space travel.
5. Virtual Reality
technological singularity may lead to a situation in which all going to load into memory of supercomputers . This can be done without leaving space travel.
But supercomputers must be very large. Such as concept matrioshka brain type "invented" by the American afternoon trans-humanist Robert Bradbury . This mega space consists of several areas of Dyson. Each sphere has a nano-size computer at the molecular scale. All these areas are built around the star and get the energy to calculate energy exchange that occurs between the star and interstellar space . This will allow the computer to simulate reality, that is not less, but even better in their level of resolution compared to the world around us.
According to the ideas of Bradbury, one matrioshka brain 1042 can perform operations per second. Professor of mechanical engineering at MIT Seth Lloyd proposed a draft of a quantum system, which can perform 5 x 1,050 logic operations per second with a resolution of 1031 bits bits. Compared to the worlds that can be generated by this system, our old universe based analog may seem slow, boring and primitive.
6. Eternal Rest
Most of the world's religions invented utopias beyond the grave. And how could they encourage their followers to behave properly in the real world? Religion is the expression of human ideas about the ideal level of existence . Today, few people seriously believe in the existence of heaven or beyond. But this does not mean that we should abandon the idea of create heaven on the use of technology on Earth.
The British philosopher David Pearce calls this the principle of "Hedonistic Imperative" . He and other trans-humanists-abolitionists to call creation of heaven on earth through advanced biotechnology. The use of psychopharmacology and genetic engineering can deliver us mankind from pain and provide comfortable existence and to reach some sort of signal system to receive notifications about the health of the body.
More progressive ideas related to hedonism-suggest ways increase the number of psychological, emotional and physical pleasures human consciousness is able to experience . For those Puritans raised under strict moral and restrictive conditions, the concept may seem extravagant Pierce, and even immoral. But in reality, we all want just level of metaphysics . We all want so much pleasure in life as possible with the least number of problems along the way.
7. The cosmological significance
No we are quite sure what to write in this section. This could be a scenario with the greatest long-term perspective beyond the limits of human imagination . We are not able to properly present these utopian ideas here. However, it is still desirable to experience them. Again, there is some risk of falling into philosophy and metaphysics (forget about hedonism), but some vague possibilities are still worth considering.
futurist John smart he suggests that the most complex systems in the universe used less and less space, time, matter and energy to enter the next level of evolution . This applies to galaxies, stars, planets, environmental and technological systems. Human civilization is no exception. Ultimately, our destiny is out of this universe and put our collective consciousness in a completely different dimension . For example, in one of the black holes.
Robert Lanza, professor at the Institute for Regenerative Medicine at Wake Forest University offers a different theory. Lanza suggests that our universe is in its early stages of development and that during the later stages of development, intelligent life can begin managing the universe . As a result, the very nature of the universe will undergo changes, it will become biocentric , and biological life will be in charge of creating reality and time around.
Here, we can easily get in the possibility of time travel and the exploitation of quantum effects of cohesion . From what little we know about the structure of the universe at this point, that in the future mankind can face the opportunities, it is not possible to imagine today
Source:. learning-mind.com
"7 Optimistic Scenarios for the Future of Our Planet", article source: riseearth.com
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